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The Numbers Do Lie in Clay Guida’s Win Over Hatsu Hioki at ‘UFC on FOX 6’

Written by Tom Ngo
January 28th, 2013
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UFC Lightweight Clay Guida

Oh, that tricky “Octagon control” rule. If someone secures a takedown and maintains top position without inflicting any damage, should said fighter be awarded the victory? How about if the athlete on the bottom lands nearly twice as many total strikes throughout the contest?

Well, that’s pretty much how Clay Guida (Pictured) took home a split decision (28-29, 30-27, 29-28) win over Hatsu Hioki on Saturday night at “UFC on FOX 6.” In his featherweight debut, Guida scored one takedown in all three rounds. However, his attack was far from devastating once the scrap hit the mat.

In fact, referee Robert Madrigal was forced to stand them up on two separate occasions due to inactivity.

Although Guida held dominant top position for much of their 15-minute affair, it was Hioki who connected on 74 significant strikes to “The Carpenter’s” 40.

According to FightMetric, the UFC’s official number crunchers, the Japanese standout out-struck Guida in every round. He won 31-16 in the opening five minutes, 23-12 in the middle stanza and 20-12 in the final frame. In addition, Hioki continued to try and finish the fight from off his back with two submission attempts.

Guida didn’t go for any submissions.

My old sales manager used to preach, “The numbers never lie.” In this case, it appears they do.

At this stage, I’ve seen more than enough MMA bouts to understand how judges think. Wrestling rules in MMA. Regardless of how many submission tries or strikes the man on bottom gets off, the fighter on top maintained “Octagon control” and earns the nod.

On a side note, to the judge who scored the contest 30-27 in Guida’s favor – Huh?

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