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Ngo-Stradamus Predicts “UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun”

Written by Tom Ngo
October 23rd, 2009
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UFC-104

The world knows Nostradamus as the man that predicted many major world events. Well 5thRounders, Ngo-stradamus will look to do the same thing, but in the context of the MMA world. Check out how he foresees UFC 104 playing out, and let’s see if the all-mighty one can win you folks some dough.

Anthony Johnson (-300) vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida (+220)

We’ve been saying it for a while now, but Johnson could very well be the next big thing in the welterweight division. The only problem is, this is his first opportunity to showcase his skills on a UFC pay-per-view broadcast.

Next to welterweight king Georges St-Pierre, there aren’t many in Johnson’s league when it comes to athleticism inside the Octagon. He’ll need to utilize those skills as he puts his 7-2 record on the line against a game Yoshida.

The Japanese import bounced back nicely from his devastating knockout loss to Josh Koscheck last December by posting a sick 1stRound submission over Brandon Wolff at UFC 98. A W could launch the victor into the upper echelon of the welterweight class, and the all-mighty one just can’t picture seeing Yoshida there.

Ngo-stradamus Predicts: Johnson via 2ndRound TKO

Josh Neer (N/A) vs. Gleison Tibau (N/A)

Neer is one of the UFC’s fiercest competitors. His ruthless and relentless style always makes for an action-packed fight. Although he holds a 25-8-1 pro mark, he’s dropped two of his last three, including a unanimous decision loss to Kurt Pellegrino in his last outing at UFC 101.

Speaking of cold streaks, Tibau’s record over his last six contests isn’t anything to write home about either. The talented Brazilian has gone a mundane 3-3 during that span, and is fresh off a tough split decision loss to Melvin Guillard this past June.

Ngo-stradamus Predicts: Neer via 3rdRound TKO

Joe Stevenson (-220) vs. Spencer Fisher (+175)

If you were to have asked me at the beginning of last year which of these two would be riding a three-fight winning streak into this matchup and who would be 2-3 over his last five, there’s no way that I would have said Joe Daddy was heading in the wrong direction.

Unfortunately for “The Ultimate Fighter 2” winner, his record and position in the lightweight pecking order isn’t where he would like it to be, but the good news is that his losses came against champ BJ Penn and top contenders Kenny Florian and Diego Sanchez – the who’s who of the 155-pound class.

The 33-year-old Fisher seems to have located the Fountain of Youth as he has taken six of his last eight contests. Much like his Miletich training partner Josh Neer, this slugger isn’t one to shy away from exchanging leather so this could be explosive.

Ngo-stradamus Predicts: Stevenson via Unanimous Decision

Ben Rothwell (+220) vs. Cain Velasquez (-300)

Rothwell was the cream of the IFL’s heavyweight crop, amassing a 9-0 record in the process. Since their demise, Rothwell has gone 1-1 including a devastating KO loss to former UFC heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski.

Although he holds an impressive 30-6 professional record, all of his damage has been done away from MMA’s biggest stage. His time has finally come, however the UFC didn’t do him any favors by pitting him against one of their up-and-coming studs.

Velasquez was expecting to face fellow undefeated heavyweight Shane Carwin in a top contender bout on this card, however the UFC opted to give Carwin the bump to challenge Brock Lesnar at UFC 106 for his title.

No biggie for Velasquez as he knows that all he needs to do is keep winning and a 5Round affair will be here before he knows it. Adding a W over Rothwell to his resume will certainly solidify his position as next in line for a shot at heavyweight gold.

Ngo-stradamus Predicts: Velasquez via Unanimous Decision

Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (+325) vs. Lyoto Machida (-450) (UFC Light Heavyweight Champion)

Most UFC fans aren’t aware, but Shogun used to be the world’s best 205-pounder. Although he has never carried a major title, his skills were unmatched during his ridiculous run through PrideFC in the early 2000’s.

Two knee surgeries later and Shogun appears to have finally re-located some of that mojo. Although his UFC 97 knockout of Chuck Liddell was nice, it’s not the same “Iceman” that was dominating the division a few years back, so let’s keep things in perspective.

Along with the UFC’s most coveted championship crown, Machida will also be taking with him a perfect 15-0 mark into his first title defense. He has looked nothing less than spectacular in his last two outings, both ending with his opponents unconscious on the mat.

Regardless of how invincible Machida has looked over his career, Ngo-Stradamus still finds it hard to believe that Machida is 4.5 times better than Shogun.

I don’t really smell an upset brewing, however throwing some cheddar on Shogun wouldn’t be the worst underdog bet out there.

Ngo-stradamus Predicts: Machida via 2ndRound TKO

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