Although the main event between welterweight champ Georges St-Pierre and Dan Hardy at UFC 111 may not be the barn-burner that most of the other bouts on the star-studded card will be, let’s take a closer look at their betting line and see why GSP is an 8-to-1 favorite to retain his crown.
That’s right, the 170-pound stud will be at -800 when he steps into the Octagon inside the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
The ever-dangerous Hardy checks in as a 5-to-1 underdog.
The last time GSP was such a heavy favorite was in his first title defense against Matt Serra at UFC 69 where he went as high as -1600, and we all know how that night turned out for the “Frenchie.”
Even in their mulligan at UFC 83, when most expected St-Pierre to violently avenge his humiliating loss, which he ultimately did, he was still only -450 at gametime. So, it’s a little surprising the gambling Gods have rated the champ at -800 when he meets Hardy.
There’s really only one way to beat MMA’s baddest 170-pounder (Please See: Puncher’s Chance), and Hardy would certainly prefer nothing more than an all-out shootout, as it would greatly increase the likelihood of him landing that one fortuitous strike.
If GSP can wrestle his way to another win, like he has in his past six dominant contests, then it will be obvious why he’s such a big favorite because Hardy will never get a chance to tee off. However, Hardy will be afforded a few opportunities to land leather before the champ takes him to the mat.
UFC 111 will be jumping off this Saturday. Here is a breakdown of the evening’s festivities:
Greg Soto vs Matt Riddle
Thomas Drwal vs. Rousimar Palhares
Rodney Wallace vs. Jared Hamman
Spike TV 9PM ET/6PM PT
Ricardo Almeida vs. Matt Brown
Nate Diaz vs. Rory Markham
Kurt Pellegrino vs. Fabricio Camoes
Mark Bocek vs. Jim Miller
Jon Fitch vs. Ben Saunders
Shane Carwin vs. Frank Mir (UFC Interim Heavyweight Title)
Dan Hardy vs. Georges St-Pierre (UFC Welterweight Champion)