The world knows Nostradamus as the man who predicted many major world events. Well 5thRounders, Ngo-stradamus will look to do the same thing, but in the context of the MMA world. Let’s see if the all-mighty one can make another lucrative set of predictions for tomorrow’s “UFC 111: St-Pierre vs. Hardy” event.
Mark Bocek (+300) vs. Jim Miller (-400)
Bocek holds a respectable 8-2 pro record with six of his wins coming by way of submission, so we know where he would prefer for the lightweight scrap to go. However, Miller is no slouch himself, as 10 of his 16 victories have come by way of tapout.
The question is whether Bocek’s striking has improved at the pace it needs to in order to compete for a shot at the strap. Miller clearly would prefer to keep the fight standing where he holds a resounding edge.
Despite all that, riding a 3-to-1 underdog with superior grappling wouldn’t be the worst move considering the bout will eventually hit the mat. So, in the spirit of March Madness …
Ngo-Stradamus Predicts: Bocek via 3rdRound Submission
Ben Saunders (+250) vs. Jon Fitch (-350)
This wasn’t the welterweight scrap that was supposed to go down, but fans couldn’t really have asked for a better replacement bout, last-minute or otherwise.
Saunders is one of the world’s most dynamic strikers, as the southpaw is able to bring length and angles no other 170-pounder can offer, making him very difficult to prepare for. He holds a 8-1-2 record and has finished in all but one of those victories.
Fitch owns a 21-3 professional record and was riding a 16-fight win streak into his UFC 87 title fight loss to GSP. Since the defeat, the American Kickboxing Academy-trained fighter has collected three consecutive unanimous decision wins, with his last coming against Mike Pierce at UFC 107.
Some contest that Fitch’s game hasn’t developed at the rate other welterweights have enjoyed, including Saunders who has shown great improvement over the past couple of years.
Ngo-Stradamus Predicts: Saunders via 2ndRound TKO
Kurt Pellegrino (-230) vs. Fabricio Camoes (+180)
Although Kurt Pellegrino isn’t a household name among most Octagon fans, this fight will be his 10th UFC contest. The submission specialist will take a three-fight winning streak into the lightweight bout after posting wins over Thiago Tavares, Robert Emerson and Josh Neer.
Camoes, on the other hand, will be entering only his second fight for the organization, however has been perfect in his last eight outings. He and Caol Uno fought to a majority draw at UFC 106 this past November.
Ngo-Stradamus Predicts: Pellegrino via Unanimous Decision
Shane Carwin (+125) vs. Frank Mir (-155) (UFC Interim Heavyweight Title)
Carwin owns a perfect 11-0 record and has finished all of his fights in devastating fashion. In his last outing at UFC 96 in March of 2009, he put former top contender Gabriel Gonzaga to sleep in the 1stRound after connecting with a short-right hook.
Fans last saw Mir choking out Cheick Kongo with the greatest of ease at UFC 107 this past December, bumping his pro record to an impressive 13-4 mark. The former two-time heavyweight champ has won four of his last five fights, with his only blemish coming in a lopsided thrashing to UFC heavyweight champ Brock Lesnar in their highly anticipated rematch at UFC 100 last July.
Since his crushing defeat, the Brazilian Jiu Jitsu specialist has packed-on an additional 20 pounds of muscle to try and match Lesnar’s size, however that mass should prove helpful against Carwin’s 6’4″ 260-pound frame as well.
Despite his championship experience, Mir enters the matchup just a slight favorite as he checks in at -155. However his betting line recently dropped down to -140, so it appears the money is starting to come in for Carwin.
Ngo-Stradamus Predicts: Mir via 2ndRound TKO
Dan Hardy (+500) vs. Georges St-Pierre (-800) (UFC Welterweight Champion)
St-Pierre stakes claim to a dominant 19-2 professional record, however hasn’t been seen since steamrolling then-top contender Thiago Alves at UFC 100 last July. He has reeled-off six consecutive landslide victories en route to reclaiming his strap.
The 170-pound king enters this weekend’s scrap a significant 8-to-1 favorite to retain his title.
Hardy owns a 23-6 record and will be riding a seven-fight win streak into his first title bout. However, in his four Octagon outings, only one of his victories ended in a finish, while three of his wins were decided by the judges, two of which were via narrow split decision.
It’s no secret what St-Pierre wants to do so if he’s able to impose his will, like he’s done so effortlessly in his last six victorious outings. Hardy will spend much of the scrap on his back looking up at the Prudential Center ceiling.
That gameplan not only plays right into GSP’s breadbasket, but it also neutralizes the puncher’s chance that Hardy has in stealing gold.
Ngo-Stradamus Predicts: St-Pierre via 4thRound TKO